publié dans La Tribune ce matin. Ils ne l'ont pas mis en ligne encore, à voir.
****
À Christian Paradis, Lieutenant de Stephen Harper au Québec
Conservateurs aux Québec, vous le sentez. Les chiffres ne sont pas bons – 3e place dans la province où vous pensiez pouvoir gagner votre majorité.
Votre chef est vu comme quelqu’un de malintentionné, déconnecté de la réalité du Québec et de la nation québécoise.
Vous sentez le désintérêt des nationalistes fédéralistes – en même temps fiers québécois et canadiens - pour vous et vos politiques. Le vent est froid à Québec, n’est pas?
Vos seuls alliés sont les ADQuistes. Vous avez fièrement montré l’ancien chef de l’ADQ lors de votre activité de financement à Montréal le 20 mai, comme s’il pouvait être encore votre sauveteur, même si les québécois l’ont déjà rejeté en décembre 2008.
Ça sent le désespoir.
Vous lancez des annonces attaques contre le chef du PLC, Michael Ignatieff, parce qu’il a travaillé à l’extérieur du pays, comme des milliers de québécois et québécoises font chaque année. Au contraire, M. Paradis, ces gens sont fiers d’être québécois, canadiens, fiers d’être d’ici, mais aussi fiers d’aller dans le monde, vers le monde. Et nous sommes fiers d’eux.
Vous vous vantez d’être les seuls qui croient à la nation québécoise, une réalité en laquelle votre chef lui-même ne croyait pas le 24 juin 2006. Rappelez-vous, c’est Michael Ignatieff, lors de la course à la chefferie en 2006, qui a été le premier à lancer cette idée et à vouloir promouvoir cette reconnaissance. Et ce sont les libéraux du Québec, comme moi, qui ont défendu cette reconnaissance partout au Québec et dans le reste du Canada.
Vous accusez Michael Ignatieff d’être centralisateur. Si un chef, avec une vision, égale centralisateur, d’accord. Oui, je l’avoue, Michael Ignatieff a une vision pour notre pays, une grande vision, celle d’unifier les canadiens et québécois, de l’est à l’ouest. C’est un grand rêve, mais ce pays est grand. Et oui, pour réaliser cette vision, ça va prendre de l’ouverture, de la collaboration entre les provinces et le fédéral. Il faudra travailler tous ensemble pour la réaliser.
Mais le rôle d’un grand parti fédéral, c’est de penser, de rêver à nos possibilités comme pays. Les vrais premiers ministres, ils ont une vision. C’est dommage que ce ne soit pas le cas aujourd’hui.
William Hogg
Candidat du PLC dans Compton-Stanstead, 2008
jeudi 28 mai 2009
mercredi 27 mai 2009
Slew of Quebec Polls
1. CROP-La Presse this morning.
BQ 36
Lib 32
Cons 15
NDP 12
Slight reversal of the end of April edition when we had 37-31 lead over the BQ. The other two federal parties are stagnant. The interesting part of this poll was the QC region - 33 Lib, 10 points up on the Cons and several on the BQ. As pointed out in the article - never happened since 2004, when we were in the heady 50% of support in the province.
2. Monday's Ipsos-Reid, where we pulled in a tie in QC with the Bloc 36-36. The analysis turns quite funny, where the Cons are compared to the REEEEEEEFormers of the 1990s...
3. A final poll, which deals with the impact of Con ads in QC, shows how voting intentions between parties is changing - where 35 of dejected former conservatives are coming into the Liberal house, as are 25% of NDPers and 10% of BQ supporters. The numbers are specific enough that you can actually go riding by riding and make some interesting calculations...
BQ 36
Lib 32
Cons 15
NDP 12
Slight reversal of the end of April edition when we had 37-31 lead over the BQ. The other two federal parties are stagnant. The interesting part of this poll was the QC region - 33 Lib, 10 points up on the Cons and several on the BQ. As pointed out in the article - never happened since 2004, when we were in the heady 50% of support in the province.
2. Monday's Ipsos-Reid, where we pulled in a tie in QC with the Bloc 36-36. The analysis turns quite funny, where the Cons are compared to the REEEEEEEFormers of the 1990s...
3. A final poll, which deals with the impact of Con ads in QC, shows how voting intentions between parties is changing - where 35 of dejected former conservatives are coming into the Liberal house, as are 25% of NDPers and 10% of BQ supporters. The numbers are specific enough that you can actually go riding by riding and make some interesting calculations...
lundi 25 mai 2009
Une semaine qui commence bien....
Nouveau sondage Léger (1000+ répondants):
37 PLC
33 BQ
14 NPD
13 CONS
3 Verts
On attends d'autres aussi - CROP, Ekos. Nanos n'a pas fait une depuis le 9, donc peut-être lui aussi...
37 PLC
33 BQ
14 NPD
13 CONS
3 Verts
On attends d'autres aussi - CROP, Ekos. Nanos n'a pas fait une depuis le 9, donc peut-être lui aussi...
dimanche 24 mai 2009
jeudi 21 mai 2009
We are proud
of you, for going into the world, bringing Canada to the world, and hopefully bringing the world back to Canada when and if you come home
mercredi 20 mai 2009
jeudi 14 mai 2009
Interessant!
Dans La Tribune aujourd'hui, on aprends que Serge Cardin songe serieuxement à la mairie. Comme dit Larochelle dans son article, ça changerait enormement la donne au niveau municipale et féderale. Enormement...
Back
Après un automne plein de politique, j'ai eu ma claque. Ma propre campagne féderale (avec tout les déceptions et réusites), ensuite directeur de la campagne de Pierre Reid (grand victoire, 2e candidat du PLQ annoncé comme reélu), et finalement une "petite" mois de campagne pour Michael comme coordonateur dans les Cantons-de-l'Est, metonc que j'etais un peu brulé.
So I took the winter lightly. Got back into the swing of teaching, had to also get used to a new personal life, kids alpine ski racing, and so on. I took a break.
The PLC, during that time, and thanks to our new leader, changed enormously, especially here in Quebec. Nous sommes redevenu un option pour les québecois et québecoise. My last post pointed that out, and things have pretty much evolved as I expected. This is in part to Michael's openness and understanding of francophone Quebec, but also due to the negative politics and policies of Harper and co.
How things change in a few months. As I was finishing off my campaign last fall, watching the numbers coming in, it was not a great time to be a Liberal outside of QC. In Quebec, things were slightly different - we actually increased our vote, as Jean-Herman Guay has pointed out in Policy Options, by about 100,000 province-wide. In Compton-Stanstead, we were able to increase slightly the percentage from 2006, and increase significantly the francophone vote (as an aside, I lost quite a few English votes, especially to the NDP, in the last week of the campaign - me thinks English debate and CTV had quite a bit to do with that) From what I heard on the ground, this was due to several things - Stéphane's performance during the French debate; a realisation that sponsorship was finally dead; and reactions to Harper's cuts to culture.
Les québecois ont vu que le PLC a changé - pas assez pour voter en masse libéral, mais assez pour regarder qu'est qu'on a à offrir. Michael began, in December, with a relatively clean slate in Quebec, something that Stéphane did not. Don't get me wrong, Stéphane had many weaknesses, including his leadership style within Quebec, but he was not helped by the ongoing belief that the LPC was the party of scandal.
We have seen, since December, the results in the polls in QC. We went from 23.7% in October, to (looking at Nanos) 26 in December, 39 in January, 28 in February, 32 in March, to 36 in April.
Si on regarde CROP (le plus grand sondage fait uniquement au Québec avec 1000+ répondants), en janvier 31, 30 en février, en mars 30, et en avril, comme plusiers l'ont déja mentionné, le PLC a devancé le BQ 37-31, pour la 1er fois depuis 5 ans.
Now, why come back to blogging now? Because in their desperation, Harper and co. have launched their "attack ads." They are weak for the most part, but simply because they are there we have to prepare to answer them. Dion didn't, and it cost him dearly. Michael, I expect, will respond, and we have to fight to make sure that the reality of the situation remains what it is - Harper can't fight fair, is mismanaging the country, and has resorted to low politics to smear his opponent. So I say bring it on, Steve, and let the progressive blogosphere eat you up in the process.
So I took the winter lightly. Got back into the swing of teaching, had to also get used to a new personal life, kids alpine ski racing, and so on. I took a break.
The PLC, during that time, and thanks to our new leader, changed enormously, especially here in Quebec. Nous sommes redevenu un option pour les québecois et québecoise. My last post pointed that out, and things have pretty much evolved as I expected. This is in part to Michael's openness and understanding of francophone Quebec, but also due to the negative politics and policies of Harper and co.
How things change in a few months. As I was finishing off my campaign last fall, watching the numbers coming in, it was not a great time to be a Liberal outside of QC. In Quebec, things were slightly different - we actually increased our vote, as Jean-Herman Guay has pointed out in Policy Options, by about 100,000 province-wide. In Compton-Stanstead, we were able to increase slightly the percentage from 2006, and increase significantly the francophone vote (as an aside, I lost quite a few English votes, especially to the NDP, in the last week of the campaign - me thinks English debate and CTV had quite a bit to do with that) From what I heard on the ground, this was due to several things - Stéphane's performance during the French debate; a realisation that sponsorship was finally dead; and reactions to Harper's cuts to culture.
Les québecois ont vu que le PLC a changé - pas assez pour voter en masse libéral, mais assez pour regarder qu'est qu'on a à offrir. Michael began, in December, with a relatively clean slate in Quebec, something that Stéphane did not. Don't get me wrong, Stéphane had many weaknesses, including his leadership style within Quebec, but he was not helped by the ongoing belief that the LPC was the party of scandal.
We have seen, since December, the results in the polls in QC. We went from 23.7% in October, to (looking at Nanos) 26 in December, 39 in January, 28 in February, 32 in March, to 36 in April.
Si on regarde CROP (le plus grand sondage fait uniquement au Québec avec 1000+ répondants), en janvier 31, 30 en février, en mars 30, et en avril, comme plusiers l'ont déja mentionné, le PLC a devancé le BQ 37-31, pour la 1er fois depuis 5 ans.
Now, why come back to blogging now? Because in their desperation, Harper and co. have launched their "attack ads." They are weak for the most part, but simply because they are there we have to prepare to answer them. Dion didn't, and it cost him dearly. Michael, I expect, will respond, and we have to fight to make sure that the reality of the situation remains what it is - Harper can't fight fair, is mismanaging the country, and has resorted to low politics to smear his opponent. So I say bring it on, Steve, and let the progressive blogosphere eat you up in the process.
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